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January 21, 2006

Revised Election Predictions

Now that the last of the polls are out, Andrew Coyne has put out a call for election predictions. I made my first one in mid-December, and I still think it's pretty close to what's going to happen, but I'm going to alter it slightly based on the way things are going.

First, the Conservatives are doing better than I thought they would. I had given 130 seats to them, now I think it'll be 140. Too bad it's not a majority, but it'll be enough to take the Liberals' greasy hands off the levers of power. The Liberals are doing much worse than I expected, they go from 103 to 82, benefiting the NDP, who get bumped from 21 to 31. The Bloc go from 54 to 55.

So. My final prediction:

Conservatives: 140
Liberals: 82
NDP: 31
Bloc: 55
I'm hoping to be pleasantly surprised on Monday, but am not counting on it. I don't think there's really any Liberal supporters left, just anti-Conservatives. Perhaps the absence of something to vote for will keep a large portion of these people away. Gotta have something to hope for.

Coyne also asked three questions. My answers:

  1. The Conservatives win more seats in Ontario.
  2. The Liberals win more seats in Qué.
  3. The Liberals (and Martin) win in LaSalle-Emard. *sigh*

UPDATE: For some reason, I had the number of seats wrong. There's 308, not 315. I knew that but I was thinking of the number needed for a majority. I've altered them by lowering the Blocs totals. The others are solid.

Posted by Bruce Gottfred at January 21, 2006 05:42 PM | TrackBack
Comments

Video slots on the web has a fan club of there own, people just can’t get enough. Even when news slots are launched by the different software developers they get a standing ovation and are attacked with an intensity of a wolf mother protecting her cubs. It is like the New Years sale in Bond street where the entire population of crazy housewife’s fight over every garment and will draw blood if need be.

Lucky us the since the slots are online there is no such thing as a queue and you can play when you want. You don’t even have to get dressed.

Not that this has any relevance to who plays slots and who don’t. There is clearly according to the latest polls more women playing slots then men. Men seem to drift towards the poker and table games. But here is something us men have to watch out for, they are coming. And they are also coming in swarms.

And since we men can not do more then one thing at a time (at least that is what the women say) we are in trouble. Take Blackjack, they should be better at handling two and three hands then us. Texas Hold’em is up for grabs because of the pace and many factors in the game. So when you are playing against a women you might want to hold on to your chips (and maybe your hart as well) she could end up owning both of them. Women know we are simple beings, and do have this factor over us when playing face to face. All men are suckers to a nice smile, so in all fairness any poker game that has both men and women in it should be played online.

At least you will not be distracted by that nice perfume drifting in from the women next to you. It is so faint but a man has certain instincts and will try to get a good sniff. So leaning in (ever so careful) I still get booted from a game for trying to look at other peoples cards. And I had a straight lined up. Even the big smile I got from the women next to me did not really soften the blow of getting booted. At least the dealer understood me and just told me to take a break for a while. That is my 2 cents worth on the topic of women and gambling.

Signing off for now and heading towards the slots, someone told me there is a good chance of meeting women there. At least that is what they tell me on http://www.streetslots.com

Posted by: Kathy at February 3, 2006 11:59 AM
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